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journals

• “Trends in Temperature Data: Micro-foundations of Their Nature”, with Jesús Gonzalo and Andrey Ramos, 2024, Economic Letters (forthcoming).
  
• "Detecting multiple level shifts in bounded time series" with Josep Lluis Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2024, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics (forthcoming).
• "Credit shortages and limited liquidity in periphery EMU countries", with  Michael Arghyrou and Alexandros Kontonikas, 2023, Journal of International Money and Finance (forthcoming).
• “Testing for multiple level shifts with an integrated or stationary noise component” with Josep Lluis Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2023, Journal of Applied Econometrics 38:801–819.
• Economic methods for business cycle dating: a practical guide" with Máximo Camacho, 2023, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance (forthcoming).
•  “A new approach to dating the reference cycle” with Máximo Camacho y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2022, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics 40(1), 66-81.
• "A tale of three cities: Climate heterogeneity, with Jesús Gonzalo, 2022, SERIES 13(1,2), 475-511.
• "An Automatic Algorithm to Date the Reference Cycle of the Spanish Economy", with Máximo Camacho and Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021, Mathematics 9, 2241.
• “Effects of external imbalances on GDP recovery patterns”, con Mariam Camarero, Ana Gomez-Loscos y Cecilio Tamarit, 2021, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,182, 349-362.
• "Inflation interdependence in advanced economies: facts and drivers", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Luis Julian Alvarez, 2020, World Economy 44(2), 485-509.
• "Growth and Business Cycle in Argentina. A long-run approach, 1870-2015", 2020, with Isabel Sanz, Applied Economic Analysis 28(84), 197-220.
•   “Nearly unbiased estimation of autoregressive models for bounded near-integrated stochastic processes”, con Josep Lluis Carrion-i-Silvestre y Antonio Montañes, 2020, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 83(1), 0305-9049.
• "The decline in volatility in the US economy. A historical perspective", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2020, Oxford Economics Papers 72, 101-123.
• "Trends in distributional characteristics: Existence of global warming", with Jesús Gonzalo, 2020, Journal of Econometrics 214, 153-174.
• "Exchange rates and prices in Spain during the Gold Standard (1868-1914). A test or purchasing power parity", with José Aixalá and Gema Fabró, 2020, Applied Economics Letters 27, 1028-1032
• "Business cycle patters in European regiones", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Eduardo Bandrés, 2019, Empirical Economics 59(6), 2639-2661 .
• “Increasing linkages among European regions. The role of sectoral composition”, with Ana Gomez-Loscos and Danilo Leiva-León, 2019, Economic Modelling 80, 222-243.
• “Whatever it takes” to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects “, with Antonio Afonso, Michael Arghyrou and Alexandros Kontonikas, 2018, Journal of International Money and Finance 86, 1-30 .​​
• “The Great Recession. Worse than ever?”, with Máximo Camacho and Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2018, Revista de Economía Aplicada 76, 73-100 . (data_codes)
• “Great Moderation and Great Recession: From plain sailing to stormy seas?”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2018 International Economic Review 59(4), 2297-2321.
• “Clustering bussiness cycles”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Eduardo Bandrés, 2018, Economics Letters 162, 171-176.
• "Dissecting US recoveries", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2017; Economics Letters 154, 59-63.
• "Testing the convergence hypothesis for OECD countries: a reappraisal", with Isabel Sanz, 2017, Economics Ejournal No. 2017-4. March 14.
• "Structural Breaks, Inflation and Interest Rates. Evidence from the G7 Countries”, with Jesús Clemente, Marcelo Reyes and Antonio Montañés, 2017, Econometrics, 5(11).
• “GDP growth and oil prices: A long story?”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos y Antonio Montañés, 2017, Econometrics, 4(4).
• "Gone with the euro. The peripheral peseta and its purchasing power parity (1870-1998)”, with José María Serrano y Marcela Sabaté, 2016, Revista de Historia Económica/ Journal of the Iberian and Latin American Economic History 35, 207-239.
• “Un ciclo económico en Europa”, with Eduardo Bandrés and Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2017, Cuadernos de información Económica, Funcas.
• "Lost in intervention. The Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect on the peseta/dollar real exchange rate (1870-1998)", with Marcela Sabaté and José María Serrano Sanz, 2015, Applied Economics Letters 23(14), 1012-1017.
• “Bounds, breaks and unit root tests”, with Josep Lluis Carrion, 2015, Journal of Time Series Analysis 37(2), 165-181. Complementary material. Matlab code.
•  “Model selection, uncertainty and the PPP puzzle”, with Laura Mayoral, 2015,  Oxford Economics Papers 67(3), 614-633.
• "The failure to predict the Great Recession. A view through the role of credit" , with Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2015,  Journal of the European Economic Association, 13(3), 534–559.
• "Constraining fiscal dominance. The case of Spain, 1874-1998", with Marcela Sabaté and Regina Escario, 2015, European Review of Economic History 19(1), 23-43.
• "Oil price shocks and the US economy: What makes the latest oil price episode different?" with Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2014,  International Economic Letters 3(2), 36-44.​
• “Cyclical properties of Spanish Defence Expenditures”, with Noelia Cámara and Claudia Pérez-Fornies, 2014, Defence and Peace Economics 25(1), 7-22.
• “GLS based unit root tests for bounded processes”, with Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2013, Economic Letters 120 (2), 184-187. Matlab code.
• “Trade Openness and Public Expenditure. The Spanish Case, 1960-2000", with Estela Sáenz and Marcela Sabaté, 2013, Public Choice 154, 173-195.
• “Long-run fiscal dominance in Argentina: 1875-1990”, with Isabel Sanz and Marcela Sabaté, 2012, Financial History Review, 19(03), 311–335.
• "Comparing globalizations", with Noelia Cámara and Marcela Sabaté, 2012, The Empirical Economic Letters 11, 815-850.
• "Cycles inside cycles. Spanish Regional Aggregation", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Antonio Montañés, 2012, SERIES 3(4), 423-456.​
• "The single monetary policy and domestic fundamentals: evidence for Spain", with Michael Arghyrou, 2012, Journal of Policy Modelling 34, 16-34.
• "Multicointegration, Seigniorage and Fiscal Sustainability. Spain 1874-1998", with Regina Escario and Marcela Sabaté, 2012, Journal of Policy Modelling 34, 270-283.
• “Nato Defence Expenditure: A Statistical Compendiun (1960-2007)" , with Claudia Pérez-Fornies and Eva Pardos, 2012, Cuadernos Aragoneses de Economía, 22, 65-84.
• "Aggregate real exchange rate persistence through the lens of sectoral data”, with Laura Mayoral, 2011, Journal of Monetary Economics 58, 290-304.
• "Economic growth, inflation and oil shocks: are the 1970s coming back?”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos with Antonio Montañés, 2012, Applied Economics 44, 4575-4589.
• "The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish Economy", with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Antonio Montañés, 2011, Energy Economics 33, 1070-1081.
• "¿Condiciona la apertura exterior el tamaño del sector público? Un panorama", with Estela Sáenz and Marcela Sabaté, 2011, Hacienda Pública, 198, 131-149.​
• “Change in the persistence of the real exchange rates”, with Sergio Gabás and Antonio Montañes, Applied Economic Letters 18, 189-192, 2011.
• "Monetary Shadow of Deficit. Spain 1874-1998", with Regina Escario and Marcela Sabaté", Investigaciones de Historia Económica 19, 2010.
• “Exchange rate regimes and prices. The cases of Italy, Spain and United Kingdom (1874-1998)”, with Monia Ben-Kaabia and Marcela Sabaté, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 19, 447-489, 2009.
• “European Monetary Integration and Persistence of Real Exchange Rates” with Ana Belen Gracia, Financial Research Letters 4, 242-249, 2009.
•  “Aggregation is not the solution: the PPP puzzle strikes back”, with Laura Mayoral, Journal of Applied Econometrics 24, 875-894, 2009.
• "La medición del riesgo externo. Un estudio aplicado para el caso español, 1960-2000”, with Estela Saenz and Marcela Sabaté, Estudios de Economía Aplicada 27, 575-591, 2009.
• “Measuring the external risk in the United Kingdom" with Estela Sáenz and Marcela Sabaté, Economic Bulletin 29, 1182-1189, 2009.
• “Una mirada ingenua sobre las series del sector exterior, 1870-2000”, with José María Serrano and Marcela Sabaté, Revista de Historia Económica. Journal of Iberian and Latin American Economic History (2.ª epoca) 1, 83-107, 2008.
• "The Persistence of Inflation in OECD Countries: A Fractionally Integrated Approach”, with Laura Mayoral, International Journal of Central Banking 2, 51-104, 2006.
• "The effects of macroeconomic stability on foreign trade. An analysis for Spain, 1986-2000”, with Ana Belén Gracia and José María Serrano, Applied Economics 38, 2021-2036, 2006.
• "Does Fiscal Policy Influence Monetary Policy? The Case of Spain 1874-1935", with Marcela Sabaté and Regina Escario, Explorations in Economics History 43, 309-331, 2006.
• “The Welfare State and Economic Growth in Europe” with Eduardo Bandrés and Alain Cuenca, Public Finance/Finances Publiques 54 (3-4), 1-38, 1999/2006.
• "The Spanish peseta versus the pound sterling, the French franc and the US dollar (1870-1935).  A long floating experience”, with Marcela Sabaté and José María Serrano, Applied Financial Economics Letters 2, 95-99, 2005.
• "What causes the Spanish Hidden Economy?", with José María Serrano, Applied Financial Economics Letters 3, 143-150, 2005.
• "The European Union currencies and the US dollar: From post-Bretton-Woods to the euro”, with Antonio Montañes and Marcelo Reyes, Journal of International Money and Finance 23, 1109-1136, 2004.
• "The European Periphery in the Era of the Gold Standard: the Case of the Spanish Peseta and the Pound Sterling from 1870 to 1935”, with Marcela Sabaté, Open Economic Review 15, 63-85, 2004.
• "Structural breaks and their trace in the memory: Inflation rate series in the long-run” with José María Serrano and Marcela Sabaté, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 14, 117-134, 2004.
• “A long-run analysis of defence spending in the NATO countries (1960-1999)” with Eva Párdos and Claudia Pérez Fornies, Defence and Peace Economics 15, 231-249, 2004.
• "Gasto en Defensa y renta en los países de la Alianza Atlántica”, with Eva Párdos and Claudia Pérez Fornies, Hacienda Pública Española, 170, 137-153, 2004.
• "PPP and structural breaks. The peseta-sterling rate, 50 years of a floating regime” with Marcela Sabaté, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2003, 22(5), 613-627.
• "El valor de la peseta” with Marcela Sabaté, Papeles y Memorias de la Real Academia de Ciencias Morales y Políticas, 2002.
• "La inflación en España en el siglo XX”, with Marcela Sabaté, Papeles de Economía Española, 2001.
• "The hidden economy in Spain. A Monetary Estimation, 1964-1998”, with José María Serrano Sanz, Empirical Economics 27, 499-527, 2002.
• "The Defence Spending in Spain: a long-run approach”, with Antonio Montañes, Defence and Peace Economics 12, 369-393, 2001.
• "Economic growth and the long run balance of payments constraint in Spain", with José María Serrano Sanz and Marcela Sabaté Sort, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 8.4, 395-424, 1999.
• "Tipo de cambio y protección. La peseta al margen del patrón oro, 1883-1931", with José María Serrano Sanz and Marcela Sabaté Sort, Revista de Historia Industrial 13, 83-112, 1998.
• "La ética de la igualdad. Consideraciones sobre los fundamentos contractuales de la redistribución de la renta”, with Eduardo Bandrés , Ekonomiaz 40, 11-41, 1998.
• "La renta del turismo en las comarcas del Pirineo oscense”, with Alain Cuenca, Cuadernos Aragoneses de Economía 2.ª época 4.1, 119-128, 1994.
• "Un modelo sobre los determinantes del crecimiento del gasto público en España (1964-1990)", Revista de Economía Aplicada 2, 31-66, 1993.
• "La importancia del turismo”, Papeles de Economía Española: Economía de las Comunidades Autónomas 10, 301-303, 1991.
• “¿Por qué crece el gasto público?: Un modelo de oferta and demanda aplicado al caso español (1962-1986)”, Cuadernos Aragoneses de Economía 14, 119-148, 1990.

books

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• "Ciclos económicos regionales en España. El caso de Andalucía”, with Antonio Montañes and Ana Gómez Loscos en Ensayos sobre ciclos económicos. Una perspectiva actual. Servicio de Estudios Cajasol, 96-119, 2009.
•  “PPP and Black Market Exchange Rates (1939-1959): The Experience of the Spanish Peseta”, with Marcela Sabaté and José Maria Serrano, International Business and Finance Issues, NovaPublishers, 277-304, 2007.
• “Regional macroeconomic behaviour: Is there a common Spanish cycle driving activity”, with Ana Gómez and Antonio Montañés, Papers and Proceedings: Global Regions? Annual conference of Regional Studies Association, London, 2006.
• "Las ayudas comunitarias en Aragón", with José Antonio Herce, Antonio Montañés and Simón Sosvilla. CESA, Zaragoza, 2001.
• “Cambio, Precios, Balanza y Expectativas”, with Marcela Sabaté and José María Serrano.In Sudriá, C. and Tirado, D., Peseta y protección. Comercio Exterior, Moneda y Crecimiento Económico en la España de la Restauración, 143-156, Ediciones de la Universidad de Barcelona, Barcelona, 2001.
• "La determinación del tipo de cambio de la peseta (1883-1931). Una nota a propósito de Sardá" with Marcela Sabaté Sort and José María Serrano Sanz, in Peseta y protecciónEstudios en Homenaje a Joan Sardá i Dexeus. Ediciones de la Universidad de Barcelona, 2001.
• "La peseta en la cultura de la estabilidad", in Del real al euro, Servicio de Estudios de la Caixa (editor), 2000.
• “La modernización de los Estados de Bienestar en el Sur de Europa”, with Eduardo Bandrés, Alain Cuenca and Antonio Sánchez, Dimensiones de la Desigualdad, 89-149, Fundación Argentaria, Madrid, 1999.
• "Desigualdades territoriales en la economía sumergida", with José María Serrano, Eduardo Bandrés and Jaime Sanaú, Confederación de Empresarios de Aragón and el Instituto Aragonés de Fomento, Zaragoza, 1998.
• “La peseta y el patrón oro. Un caso de la Paridad del Poder Adquisitivo”, with José María Serrano and Marcela Sabaté, in La peseta y el patrón de cambios en la España del siglo XIX.“La política monetaria y las fluctuaciones de la economía española en el siglo XIX. Homenaje a Joan Sardá y Dexeus”, Barcelona, 1998.
• "La economía política del gasto público en España (1964-1993)", Madrid, Consejo Económico y Social, 1996.
• "Las Administraciones Públicas Centrales y la Economía Aragonesa. Una estimación de la balanza fiscal" with José María Serrano, Eduardo Bandrés, Ramón Barberán and Alain Cuenca, Consejo Económico y Social de Aragón and la Diputación General de Aragón, Zaragoza, 1995.

Working papers 

• “Trends in Temperature Data: Micro-foundations of Their Nature”, with Jesús Gonzalo and Andrey Ramos, arXiv:2312.06379.
  
• "An automatic algorithm to date the reference cycle of the Spanish Economy" with Máximo Camacho and Ana Gómez-Loscos, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo 2139, 2021.
  
• "Growth-and-risk trade-off", with L. Laeven and G. Pérez-Quiros, Working Paper Series European Central Bank, 2020, 2397.
• "Growth-and-risk trade-off", with L. Laeven and G. Pérez-Quiros, Center for Economic Policy Research, 2020, DP 14492.
• "The relationship between inflation rates in advanced economies", with L.J. Alvarez  and A. Gómez-Loscos,  Economic Bulletin, Banco de España 1/2020, 1-11.
• "Inflation Interdependence in Advanced Economies", with L.J. Alvarez and  A. Gómez, 2019,  Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1920.
• "A new approach to dating the reference cycle", with M. Camacho and A. Gómez-Loscos, 2019, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1914.
• "Business cycle patterns in European regions", with E. Bandrés and Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2018, MPRA Paper 83964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Whatever it takes” to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects “, with Antonio Afonso, Michael Arghyrou and Alexandros Kontonikas, REM WP Series, ISEG Working Paper, Cardiff Working Paper and Cesifo series.
• "Dissecting US recoveries”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2017; Working Paper CEPR 11997, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1708.
• “Trends in distributional characteristics: Existence of global warming”, with Jesús Gonzalo, 2017, Documento de Trabajo Carlos III, 17-03.
• "The Evolution of Regional Economic Interlinkages in Europe”, with Ana Gomez-Loscos and Danilo Leiva-León, 2017, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1705.
• "Regional Business Cycles Across Europe”, with Eduardo Bandrés and Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2017, Documento Ocasional Banco de España, 1702, Documento de Trabajo FUNCAS, 785.
• "GDP growth and oil prices: A long story?”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Antonio Montañes, 2016, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1625.
• "Testing the Convergence Hypothesis for OECD Countries: A Reappraisal", with Isable Sanz, Economics, Discussion Paper 11-10, 2016 ().
• “The Great Moderation in historical perspective. Is it that great?” with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2015, Working Paper CEPR DP10825, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España 1527.
• “The two greatest. Great Recession vs. Great Moderation”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2014, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1423, Working Paper CEPR DP10092.
• “Las previsiones económicas en España. Estudio comparativo del Panel de Funcas”, 2014, Documento de Trabajo FUNCAS, 749.
• “La Gran Recesión en España en clave regional. Un análisis de ciclos económicos” with Eduardo Bandrés, 2013, Documento de Trabajo FUNCAS, 737.
• “The failure to predict the Great Recession. The failure of academic economics? A view focusing on the role of credit” with Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2012, Documento de Trabajo Banco de España, 1240, Working Paper CEPR DP9269.
• “El papel del crédito como predictor del ciclo económico”, with Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, Boletin Económico, Banco de España 34, 2012.
• Cycles inside cycles. Spanish Regional Aggregation”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Antonio Montañés, WIFO Working Papers 390/2011.
• “The impact of oil shocks on the Spanish economy”, with Ana Gómez Loscos and Antonio Montañes, Documento de trabajo, FUNCAS, 2010.
• “Economic growth, inflation and oil shocks. Are the 1970s coming back?”, with Ana Gomez Loscos and Antonio Montañes, Discussion Paper on Applied Economics DPAE/10/01/, University of Oviedo, 2010.
• “Vertical Specialization and Nonstationarities in International Trade Series”, Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper, 309, 2009.
• "Goverment solvency or just pseudo-sustainability? A long-run multicointegration approach for Spain", with Regina Escario and Marcela Sabaté, DTECONZ 2009-07.
• “Openness and the size of public sector in Spain, 1960-2000”, with Estela Saenz and Marcela Sabaté, DTECONZ 2009-06.
• “Beating fiscal dominance. The case of Spain, 1874-1998”, with Marcela Sabaté and Regina Escario, DTECONZ 2008-08.
• “The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain”, with Michael Arghyrou, DTECONZ 2008-05, Discussion Papers Cardiff Business School.
• “How many regional cycles are there in Spain? A MS-VAR approach”, with Ana Gómez and Antonio Montañés, Working Papers Fundear, research section, 2006/1.
• “Unit roots, Levels Shifts and Purchasing Power Parity”, with Antonio Montañés and Marcelo Reyes, Computing in Economics and Finance, 208, 2002.​

Blogs, Reports and other publications

• “La Europa del futuro: ¿del Next Generatio a un plan para las futuras generaciones? with Carlos Martínez-Mongay, Papeles de Economía Española 177, 2023.
  
• “El Plan de Recuperación, Transformación y Resiliencia en España”, with Carlos Martínez, Papeles de Economía Española 173, 2022.
  
• “The added value of the Recovery and Resilience Facility”, with Carlos Martínez Mongay, Vanessa Azón and Beatriz Barrado, European Parlament, Economic Governance Support Unit, 2022.
  
• “Datado y sincronía del ciclo regional en España”, con Eduardo Bandrés y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021, Banco de España, Documento Ocasional 2107.
• “La evolución cíclica de la economía europea en el contexto europeo”, con Luis Julian Alvarez y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021, Banco de España, Documento Ocasional 2103.
• “Datado y sincronía del ciclo regional en España”, con Eduardo Bandrés y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2020, Papeles de Economía Española, Ciclos Económico, 165.
• “La evolución cíclica de la economía europea en el contexto europeo”, con Luis Julian Alvarez y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2020, Papeles de Economía Española, Ciclos Económicos, 165.
• Ciclos económicos. Introducción Editorial. (coordinación), Papeles de Economía Española, 2020, 165.
• "España y el plan europeo de recuperación", con Eduardo Bandrés, Vicente Salas y Yolanda Sauras, 2020, Cuadernos de Información Económica FUNCAS, 277.
• "Gasto público y crecimiento en Europa”, with E. Bandrés, 2019, Cuadernos de Información Económica, FUNCAS, 271.
• “Ciclos económicos y clusters regionales en Europa”, with E. Bandrés and A. Gomez-Loscos, 2019, Cuadernos de Información Económica, FUNCAS, 270.
• "Un ciclo económico en Europa", with Eduardo Bandrés y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2017, CIE, Funcas.
• "Just one business cycle in Europe", con Eduardo Bandrés y Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2016, SEFO, vol. 15 (6).
• “On the greatness of the great moderation”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2015, Voxeu,
• El fallo en predecir la Gran Recesión. ¿Un fallo de los economistas académicos?,Nada es gratis, 2013.
• “Índice Fundear. Un sistema de indicadores sintéticos de coyuntura para la economía aragonesa”, with Antonio Montañés and Domingo Pérez, Documentos de Trabajo FUNDEAR 2003/2, 2003. Reports to the Goverment of Aragón.
• “Análisis de Coyuntura, Series temporales and Desagregación de la Información: Aplicación al caso de la economía aragonesa”, with Antonio Montañés and José María Serrano, Documentos de Trabajo IAEST, 5, 2001. Reports to the Goverment of Aragon.

WORK IN PROGRESS

Papers under review

• "Growth-and-risk trade-off", with Luc Laeven and Gabriel Pérez-Quiros.
• "Climate change heterogeneity: A new quantitative approach", with Jesús Gonzalo (revised and resubmitted in PLOS ONE).
• “Polar Warming: two opposite poles”, with Jesús Gonzalo.​.
• “Extreme climate heterogeneity”, with Jesús Gonzalo and José Olmo.
• "Global Warming: Does it exhibit a homogeneous pattern of behavior?" with Antonio Montañés and Jesús Gonzalo.
• “Social Welfare and Government Size”, with Javier Andrés, Eduardo Bandrés and Rafael Domenech.

Work in progress​

•  "Warming Dominance in the Planet”, with Jesús Gonzalo.
• "Local Projections Inference", with Oscar Jordá.
• "The Great moderation, 25 years later", with Gabriel Pérez-Quirós.
• "Long-term climate forecast”, with Jesús Gonzalo.
• "Inflation regimes in advanced economies”, with Ana Gómez-Loscos and Luis Julian Alvarez.
• "Explaining regional clusters in Europe", with Eduardo Bandrés and Ana Gómez-Loscos.
• "Testing for cointegration with broken trend variables", with Mariam Camarero, Antonio Montañes and Cecilio Tamarit.
• “Macroeconomic imbalances, forecast recessiones and output gap”, with Mariam Camarero, Ana Gómez Loscos, Gabriel Pérez-Quirós and Cecilio Tamarit.

DATA CODE

Download the code and data of the papers here:

MATLAB CODE: The Great Recession. Worse than ever?
File Size:	1679 kb
File Type:	rar

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MATLAB CODE.: A new approach to dating cycle.datingcycles.rar
File Size:	118 kb
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MATLAB CODE.: A new approach to dating cycle (Spain). datingcyclessp.rar
File Size:	80 kb
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MATLAB CODE: GLS based unit root test for bounded processes
File Size:	25 kb
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MATLAB_CODE: The decline of US volatility. An historical perspective
File Size:	422 kb
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MATLAB CODE: Bounds, breaks and structural breaks: replicate_unem.rar
File Size:	457 kb
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MATLAB CODE. Nearly unbiased estimation of autoregressive models for bounded near-integrated stochastic processes: codes_web_obes.rar
File Size:	30 kb
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MATLAB CODE. Testing for multiple level shifts with an integrated or stationary noise component: JAE_empirical_web.rar
File Size:	9119 kb
File Type:	zip

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Econometric methods for business cycle dating:codes_oxford.rar
File Size:	891 kb
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detecting_multiple_level_shifts_in_bounded_time_series_jbes_2023.rar
File Size:	1073 kb
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gadea-gonzalo-ramos-trends-2024-main.zip
File Size:	31666 kb
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RESEARCH INTEREST

International Economy
Exchange rates and Monetary integration
Applied econometrics. Time series
Applied Macroeconomics
Spanish Economy

Public Economy
Monetary policy and inflation
Business cycles
Heterogeneous growth
Trends in Global Warming

​FACULTAD ECONOMÍA Y EMPRESA, GRAN VÍA 2, 50005. ZARAGOZA

​MAIN: +34 976 761 842

​[email protected]